The current Taliban strength in Afghanistan shoes that US and ISAF forces completely failed to stop Taliban attacks on different cities of Afghanistan, which is directly challenging the US occupation of Afghanistan, one day US controls the completely secures its position in a city the next day Taliban reemerge from the ground. This situation suggested to the US military to further enhance its number of troops in Afghanistan. The military infrastructural and arsenal build up which was seen in the past years is now starting to get operationalized soon.

U.S. Vice President Joe Biden (L-R), U.S. Secretary of Defense Robert Gates and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Admiral Mike Mullen during a change of command ceremony in Baghdad on Wednesday.

Pakistan Army which is seen as key ally to the ISAF forces fighting in Afghanistan is also busy in rehabilitiation after the July and August Floods in the county and they are certainly not in a position to support the ISAF forces completely to blockade the Taliban fighting entrance in Pakistan after their successful attacks as they usually do, as in Pakistani soil they get regrouped and get medical treatment to their injured ones.

The current buildup will, as suspected take its operationalized phase after three to four months as the dry winter of afghanistan will be a great advantage to the Taliban fighters in direct combat with ISAF forces.

Back to recent blast, the new wave started suddenly with sheer strength, as there was a gap of terrorist attacks on any area of Punjab the most populated province of Pakistan it also has the most numbers of representation in Pakistani army, almost 8 out of 10 senior army commanders belong to Punjab since the partition of Indian sub continent . Attacking punjabs and too its capital city of Lahore is much more concerning  to hearts and mind of Pakistani establisment, only two days back similar kind of attck was carried out, at  a secret intelligence agency’s lahore office.

he belonged to the Eastern Iranian province of Sistan Balochistan, which has a different cultural and ethnic background from that of other parts of Iran, Iran has long history of crushing Baloch insurgency in ethnic and sunny province of Sistan and Balochistan, this part of Balochistan was also included in rule of Khan Kalat (The Baloch Dynasty which ruled Balochistan) The Kingdom of Kalat Stretched from present day Karachi and as far as port city of Bander Abbas and Bhampor in Iran, Nemrouz and Helmand in Afghanistan till 17th centaury AD.  Persian Army captured the Bhampor in 1849, revolt of Jask was ruthlessly crushed in 1873,  Sarhad rebellion in 1888, Sardar Hussein Narui Baloch rebellion was crushed in a joint operation of Anglo Persian forces in 1898. At 1916 Bharam Khan Baloch succeeded to achieve a short lived Baloch Kingdom and also had the reorganization of then British Empire as a sole Baloch King of present day Sistan Balochistan area. 1920, Mir Dost Muhammad Khan was heir to the Bharam Khan, But in 1928, Reza came in power and started multiple operation against the Baloch kingdom with the help of British Empire, Baloch rule ended in the same year and Dost Muhammad Khan was executed by Reza Shah in Tehran.   There is still unresting insurgency in both sides of Balochistan under Pakistan and Iran occupation.

[Video aired on Iranian tv channels showing arrested Abdul Malik Rigi comming down from a Jet Plane]

Iranian regime believes that from 1950 to 1980 Arab nationalist were behind the insurgency in Balochistan specially the past Bathist Party ruled countries like Iraq, Syria and Egypt. Iraq supported Balochistan Autonomist Movement in 1980-1988 to create trouble for freshly installed Shia regime of Ayatollah Khomeini on its eastern border.

Number of such rebel figures appeared in Iranian Balochistan like Dad Shah, Eidok Bamri, Lider Nohani, Rasool Buksh and his brother Aazam, Ammanullah Mubarki, Mir Moladad Jadgal, Kamalan and more recent Abdul Malik Rigi. The long Baloch insurgency and its continuity shows that Baloch are not happy nor satisfied with Iranian and Pakistani  rule over their land and do not feel any belonging with their ruling junta, feel of oppression is evident as Baloch population area in both Iran and Pakistan lack addressing infrastructural and economy issues. Smuggling and Drug Trafficking ruined the economy of the area, which automatically diverts youth from getting education and prove them self’s for the betterment of the region, drugs are easily available in both sides. Balochistan also lies in the busiest route of drug trafficking to the entire world.

Mr. Rigi,  sometimes during his video speeches conveyed to the world that he belongs to a much deprived and socially neglected Sunni minority of Iran and on those same videos he is also seen as giving moral building speeches to his fellow comrades on the basis of Baloch rights; which clearly contradicts the first one as natinalism and islamic fundementalism do not mingle with each other. He also tried to get support from other pure Baloch militant organization as declared a new organization but failed on the very name of the it as he named it “People Resistance Movement of Iran”, A quite interesting fact is as there are other communities in Iran whom follow Sunni sect of Islam are estimated to be 9 % and there Baloch comprise of only 1 % of whole Iranian population but support from other Sunnis groups was invincible to the Sunni cause of Abdul Malik Rigi and Jandullah.

Pakistan may have helped Iran to arrest Abdul Malik Rigi, In recent years Pakistan extradited  Haider Riasani and Malik Rigi’s own brother Abdul Hameed Rigi to the iranian authorities, the initial reports suggest that Malik Rigi was flying in a aeroplane and after his plane was forced to land, after checking the plane occupants the autorities were surprized to find Abdul Malik Rigi the most wanted man in Iran. This claim is full of doubts as some reports of another government official where he is claiming Rigi was arrested after a fierce gun battle. Past arrests of foregin nationals in Pakistan is not a new phenomena the after the arrest and extradiction of Aimal Kansi for his alleged involvment in first WTC attacks, Khalid Sheikh Mohammad Al-Baloshi 9/11 matermind, Sheikh Al-Libi and some estimated suggests Pakistan helped America with the arrest of some 800 people belonging to other nationalities, there for their may be some strong assumptions that Paksitani intelligence may have handed over Abdul Malik Rigi to Iran.

Issue of religious fundamentalism of Jandullah, and without going to their debate  of right or wrong, their execution style of the kidnapped people was quite new to Baloch movement and that was believed to be the main reason Rigi not getting any popular support from Baloch masses.

Malik Rigi arrest may prove a temporary halt in the insurrection against the Iranian Regime but it’s very hard to completely disconnect the Baloch insurgency as history is evidence to such tendency to revolt against Iranian authority.

It’s the another such major attack during the current year, on 15 February 2010 attack on a civilian building at Helmund took 12 lives with it, another mistaken attack in the province of Qandoz, where a police vehicle was hit by a missile which killed 7 police officials. Now such incidents are very common in Afghanistan and the question of American precision weaponry technology rises, support for allied forces is now much more in question and President Karzai government finds it very difficult to calm the masses.

There were almost 2,118, 2,412 civilians deaths in

Afghanistan during 2008 and 2009 respectively, it’s almost the same figure of human casual of World Trade Centre back in 2001, almost every year thousands of innocent people are being killed in Afghanistan which is clearly pointing to zeal of Taliban  resistance in Afghanistan, only intense and exhausting fight is responsible for such incidents where margin of error grows, and reconciliation efforts are being depreived of mass support.

The situation in afghanistan may further deteriate as taliban see it a major breach of trust by the ISAF forces and their pakistani expeditor, now its very inevitable that convoys of military supply of ISAF forces may witness more and more attacks along its 900 KM route from pakistani port city of Karachi to the afghan border town of spin boldak, as this route has the poorest security arrangments as compare to those in Aghanistan, and that may also suffer the same fate as that of peshawar-jalalabad had.